Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
1
Bharat Road Network Ltd (BRNL), is a BOT company, which is focused on
development, implementation, operation and maintenance of roads and highway
projects. The company manages over `6,685cr of road assets including five
operating projects and one under construction project aggregating to 2,
095 lane
km, with average residual life of approximately 18 years and 6 months.
Portfolio of roads across India: BRNL has a project each in Ke
rela, Madhya
Pradesh, Haryana, UP and Odisha and one more project is under
implementations in Maharashtra. While all the five of the six projects are
operational, only two of them are under final CoD, and the balance three
are
under provisional CoD. With f
inal CoD coming for the other projects the revenue
visibility could improve to some extent.
Weak reported financials: Only two
under provisional CoD, however, on receiving the final CoD it is likely that t
he
revenue growth of the company would accelerate. Though, we acknowledge the
fact that there are enough levers for revenue growth in the future, the reported
numbers of the operational projects look weak with revenue of `
14.9cr and
EBITDA of `6.8cr. At the net level, the company reported a loss of `73.9cr.
All the SPVs/ Subsidiaries have made losses in the last two years:
Post the
commencement of the commercial operations the subsidiaries and SPVs of BRNL
have not been making adequate cash flows
and in the last two years all of them
have been making losses. The combined losses of all of them at SPV level stood at
`
149.7cr for FY2017. While there is a possibility of financials improving with
higher traffic growth, continuous losses can put further
pressure on the financials
of BRNL.
Outlook Valuation:
BRNL is present only in the BOT project segment and lack of
presence in the EPC segment makes its highly dependent on the traffic growth
and price increase for improving its profitability. Though BRNL
’s projects are
spread across India, the past track record of the numbers doesn’t give enough
confidence about sharp improvement in the near term. At
the issue price band of
`195-205, the stock is offered at 2.6x its Pre Issue BV and 1.5x-1.6x its
Diluted
BV. Even established players like IRB,
with strong portfolios are trading at similar
valuations and hence,
we believe the issue price leaves limited scope for further
appreciation. Hence, we have a NEUTRAL rating on the issue.
Key Financials
Y/E March (` cr) FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
FY2016
F
Y2017
Operating Income 0.7 9.6 8.4
0.8
10.3
EBITDA (2.1) (0.1) (0.9)
(2.9)
2.1
Net profit (16.9) (60.8) (26.4)
(92.5)
(73.9
)
EPS (`) (16.9) (60.8) (26.4)
(92.5)
(13.5
)
Book Value (`) (1.1) 10.5 6.0
(66.9)
78.6
P/E NA NA NA
NA
NA
P/BV (x) NA 19.6 34.4
NA
2.6
RoE (%) NA NA NA
NA
NA
RoCE (%) NA NA NA
NA
NA
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Valuation ratios based on pre-
issue outstanding shares
and at upper end of the price band
Bharat
Road Network Ltd
IPO Note | INFRASTRACTURE
September 5, 2017
NEUTRAL
Issue Open: Sept 06, 2017
Issue Close: Sept 08, 2017
QIBs 75% of issue
Non-Institutional 15% of issue
Retail 10% of issue
Promoters 65%
Others 35%
Post Issue Shareholding Pattern
Post Eq. Paid up Capital:
`83.95
cr
Issue size (amount): *
`571
cr -**601 cr
Price Band:
`195
-205
Lot Size: 73 shares and in multiple
thereafter
Post-issue implied mkt. cap: *
`1,637
cr - **
`
1,721 cr
Promoters holding Pre-Issue: 100%
Promoters holding Post-Issue: 65.1%
*Calculated on lower price band
** Calculated on upper price band
Book Building
Fresh issue:
2.93 c
r
Face Value:
`10
Present Eq. Paid up Capital:
`54.65
cr
Offer for Sale: NIL
Siddhart Purohit
+022 39357600, Extn: 6872
siddhart.purohit@angelbroking.com
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
2
Company background
Bharat Road Network Ltd (BRNL) is a BOT company, focused on development,
implementation, operation and maintenance of roads and highway projects. The
company manages over `6,685cr of road assets including five operating projects
and one under construction project aggregating to 2,095 lane km, with average
residual life of approximately 18 years and 6 months.
Exhibit 1: Corporate Structure/ Holding in various SPVs
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: Project Details
GIPL
MTPL KEPL
GAEPL SJEPL
Current Status
Operational
Final COD
Operational
Final COD
Operational
Provisional COD
Operational
Provisional COD
Operational
Provisional COD
Design Length ( in Kms)
65.3
47.8 82.55
126.3 67
Actual Completed length
64.9
48.9 83.2
123.3 56.9
Actual Completed length in lane km 259.
8
195.6 332.6
493.2 341.3
Number of lanes
4
4 4
4 6
State
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh Haryana
Uttar Pradesh Odisha
Type of Project
Toll
Toll Toll
Toll Toll
Awarding Authority
NHAI
NHAI NHAI
NHAI NHAI
Dt of Sign of con Agr
March 27,2006
Sept,17,2008 May 10,2010
February 25,2011 December,14, 2011
Con period from appointed Dt 21 Yrs-9
Mn
25 Years 28 Years
24 Years 26 Years
Apx Residual Con life as FY17
11 Yrs & 2 months
17 Yrs & 2 months 22 Years & 1 month
17 Yr & 11 months 20 Yr & 8 months
Final COD Date/ Latest Prov COD
April,18,2016
February,17,2011 Sept,30,2014
Novermber,25,2016 January,12,2017
Total Estimated project Cost (` Cr)
649
341 993
1,708 1,774
Actual Project Cost Incurred upto
Final COD Date (` Cr)
721
330
1,024
1,925
1,803
Cost Overrun as of Final CoD (` Cr)
72
0 31
217 29
BRNL's Equity Stake in the SPVs (%)
49
48 49
39 40
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
3
Exhibit 3: Project locations of BRNL
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Issue details
BRNL is offering 2.93cr equity shares of 10 each via book building route in price
band of `195-205/share, entirely comprising of fresh issue. There is no offer for
sale.
Exhibit 4: Pre and Post-IPO shareholding pattern
No. of shares (Pre-issue) (%) No. of shares (Post-issue)
(%)
Promoters
1.713 31.34 1.713
20.41
Promoter Group 3.752 68.66 3.752
44.67
Others 0.0 2.930
34.90
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
4
Exhibit 5: Top 1O Share holders Pre Issue
Name of Share holders No Of Shares % Holding
1.IPDC 2,09,50,000 38.3
2. SREI 1,66,30,000 30.4
3. OSPL Infradeal Private Limited 95,20,000 17.4
4. IPDF 70,49,800 12.9
5. Make in India Fund 5,00,000 0.9
6. Bajrang Kumar Choudhary 100 Negligible
7. Rajesh Sirohia 100 Negligible
Total 5,46,50,000 100
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Objects of the offer
Advancing of sub-ordinate debt in form of interest free unsecured loans to the
company’s subsidiary, STPL, to the tune of `51.47cr.
Acquisition of the sub-ordinate debt in the form of unsecured loans by SREI to
STPL, KEPL, MTPL, to the tune of `372.2cr.
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
5
Investment rationale
Three projects under provisional CoD, final CoD will enhance the revenue
visibility: Currently, BRNL’s two out of five projects are under final CoD, while the
other three are under provisional CoD, with the final CoD of the other three, the
revenue visibility of the SPVs will also improve. However, going by the current run
rate of financials, the cash flows may not be adequate enough for rewarding
investors in the near term.
Exhibit 6: Project Status & Key Triggers
SPV Status Triggers
SJEPL Provisional COD to get Full COD Scope for higher tariff and volume growth
GAEPL
Provisional COD to get Full CoD Scope for higher tariff and volume growth
GIPL Operational COD
Moderate Growth in Traffic expected
KEPL Provisional COD to get Full COD Extension of Concession period
MTPL Operational COD
Moderate Growth in Traffic expected
Source: RHP, Angel Research
There has been cost overrun in projects earlier: In the past there has been delay in
project execution, sometimes though due to issues related to land acquisition.
While in some cases there is an extension of the concession period. Substantial
delay in future projects can impact the financials of the project and in turn of
BRNL’s profitability.
Exhibit 7: Cost overrun in projects
` cr GIPL MTPL KEPL GAEPL SJEPL
Estimated Project Cost on Financial Closure
649
341
993
1,708
1,774
Actual Project Cost incurred up to Final CoD/ March, 17
721
330
1,024
1,925
1,803
Cost Over Run
72
-
31
217
29
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
6
While we acknowledge the fact that final CoD of the three projects could enhance
revenue visibility, the Gross Toll Revenue and Operating EBITDA of the SPVs are
still weak
As mentioned earlier, while the final CoD might enhance the revenue visibility of
the respective SPVs. However, the SPVs, post commercial operations, both on Final
CoD/ Provisional CoD have been reporting losses in the last two years. Lack of
traffic growth and consequent lower cash flow could impact the profitability of the
SPVs/ Subsidiaries going ahead.
Exhibit 8: Revenue of SPVs
` Cr FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
SJEPL NA NA NA 14
GAEPL NA NA 101 148
GIPL 92 106 117 119
KEPL 34 66 73 77
MTPL 21 22 19 23
Total 146 194 310 381
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: Profit & Loss of Subsidiary & SPVs
Profit / (Loss) ` Cr
FY2015
FY2016 FY2017
SJEPL
NA
NA (1.1)
GAEPL
NA
(34.3) (51.4)
GIPL
33.1
(12.0) (10.9)
KEPL (65.8
)
(80.7) (71.5)
MTPL (20.6
)
(16.9) (14.8)
Total (53.3
)
(143.9) (149.7)
Source: Company, Angel Research
In the initial phase,
any BOT project might see higher interest and depreciation
cost, and hence,
absolute profitability at PAT level may not be the right way to
judge the performance, therefore
we have looked into the performance at the
EBITDA level, which too remains weak
Exhibit 10: Debt/ EBITDA (FY17 )
` Cr
EBITDA
Debt
Debt
/ EBITDA
SJEPL 12.
3
10,04.
0
81.4*
GAEPL 1,35.0
13,37.
0
9.9
GIPL 63.0
4,38.
8
7.0
KEPL 38.
9
7,41.
5
19.1
MTPL 12.
9
1,64.
8
12.7
Total 2,62.
1
36,86.1
14.1
Source: RHP, Angel Research
*The debt to EBITDA for SJEPL appears very high, as
the project has been
commissioned only in Jan, 2017.
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
7
Details of the projects/ SPVs:
Guruvayoor Infrastructure Private Ltd (GPIL): The GIPL Project is for (a) four laning
of the existing two lane portion of Thrissur-Angamali section of NH-47 from km
270 to km316.7; (b) Improvement, operation and maintenance of the Angamali –
Edapalli section from km 316.7 to km 342 of NH 47 in Kerla on DCDFOM pattern
on BOT toll basis. The project has one operational toll plaza and it started
collecting toll from February 9, 2012. GIPL Project road is part of NH-47, which
originates at Kanyakumari and ends at Salem.
Concession Operator: The Company holds 49% stake in the GIPL project, while
the balance 51% stake is held by KMC Constructions Ltd and its associates.
Key Terms of the Concession: The concession was granted by NHAI. The term of
concession was 20 years and it was to start from September 22, 2006 and expire
on September 21, 2026. However, the same has been extended up to June 2028
due to delay in land acquisition by NHAI.
Exhibit 11: Traffic Movement of GIPL
GIPL FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
ADT In PCU Terms
37,074
53,596
52,594
56,471
59,891
64,524*
% Growth YoY (1.9%) 7.4% 6.1% 7.7%
Source: RHP, Angel Research
ADT= Average Daily Traffic, PCU= Passenger Car Unit
*ADT for FY20
18 has been arrived by considering traffic number for the first two
months of FY2018 and YoY growth there on.
Mahakaleswar Tollways Private Ltd (MTPL): The MTPL project is for four laning of
the Indore-Ujjain portion from Ch-5/2 to Ch-53 on state highway 27 on a DBFOT
pattern, on a BOT toll basis in the state of Madhya Pradesh. The project has one
operational toll plaza, which started collecting toll from November, 20, 2010. The
Final COD was received on February 17, 2011.
MTPL Project Road is part of SH-27, which connects Rajasthan border in the north
and Maharashtra border in the south. On its way it connects the cities of Ujjain,
Indore & Pitampur.
Concession Operator: The Company holds 48% stake in the project, while Galfar
Engineering & Contracting S.O.AG holds 26% stake. Varaha Infra Ltd & Group
holds the balance stake.
Key Terms of the Concession: The concession was granted by MPRDC. The term of
the concession is 25 years starting from May 26, 2009 and expires in May 25,
2034.
Exhibit 12: Traffic Movement of MTPL
MTPL FY13
FY14
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
ADT In PCU Terms
13,365
13,754
15,750
15,863
15,570
16,355
% Growth YoY NA
2.9%
14.5% 0.7% -1.8%
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
8
Kurukshetra Expressway Way Pvt Ltd (KEPL): KEPL Project Road is part of NH-71,
which starts at Jalandhar and ends at NH-8 near Bawal. On its way it connects
Moga, Sangrur, and Rohtak. The concession agreement for the project was signed
on July, 13, 2010 and the latest Provisional CoD was received on September, 30,
2014. The residual concession period for the project is ~22 years & 1 month. The
traffic growth of the project has been lower in the last 3 years.
Exhibit 13: Traffic Movement of KEPL
KEPL FY14 FY15 FY16
FY17 FY18E
ADT In PCU Terms
21,468
21,115
20,872
20,167
23,902
% Growth YoY -1.6% -1.2%
-3.4% 18.5%
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Ghaziabad Aligarh Expressway Pvt Ltd (GAEPL): The GAEPL is located on the NH-
91, connects Ghazibad to Aligarh in U.P. Ghaziabd, part of the NCR is hub of
engineering electronics, leather and textile goods. Aligarh is located in the western
part of U.P at a distance of about 126 kms from Delhi. The GAEPL road project
connects several key cities including Ghazibad, Dadri, Sikandrabad, Aligarh.
The concession agreement for the project was signed on May, 10, 2010 and has a
residual concession period of ~17 years & 11 months. The latest provisional CoD
of the project was received on Nov, 25, 2016. The project witnessed a decent
6.6% growth in ADT in FY2017.
Exhibit 14: Traffic Movement GAEPL
FY16 FY17 FY18E
ADT in PCU Terms 24436 26042 28716
% Growth YoY in PCU terms NA 6.57 10.27
Source: RHP, Angel Research
Shree Jagannath Expressways Private Ltd (SJEPL): The SJEPL Project is located on
the NH-5 between Chandikhol and Bhubaneswar, Odisha. The end point of the
project road at Chandikhol is a major intersection, where NH-5A crosses NH-5
through overpass. NH-200 connects Daiteri Mines and then runs towards Raipur.
The concession agreement of the project was signed on August 6, 2010 and it has
a residual concession period of 20 years & 8 months. The 1
st
provisional CoD for
the project was received on January 12, 2017.
Exhibit 15: Traffic Movement SJEPL
FY14 FY15
FY16 FY17 FY18E
ADT in PCU Terms
37,427
35,934
38,692
43,287
45,100
% Growth YoY in PCU terms
(0.54) (3.99)
7.68 11.9 6.84
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
9
Solapur Toll Ways Private Ltd: STPL is a 99.02% subsidiary of BRNL, which is
undertaking the BOT project in Maharashtra. The scope of the project involves
augmenting the existing road by four laning the Solapur-Maharatsra/ Karnataka
border section of NH-9 from KM 249.0 to KM 348.80 KM in the state of
Maharashtra on DBFOT Toll Basis.
The estimated cost of the project is `882.62cr, while project cost incurred till March
31, 2017 stood at `473.3cr. The date of signing of concession agreement was
February, 29, 2012 and for approximate 22 years & 2 months.
Outlook & Valuation
BRNL is present only in the BOT project segment and lack of presence in the EPC
segment makes it highly dependent on the traffic growth and price increase for
improving its profitability. Though BRNL’s projects are spread across India, the
past track record of the numbers doesn’t give enough confidence about sharp
improvement in the near term.
At the issue price band of `195-205, the stock is offered at 2.6x its Pre Issue BV
and 1.5x-1.6x its Diluted BV. Even established players like IRB, with strong
portfolios are trading at similar valuations and hence, we believe the issue price
leaves limited scope for further appreciation. Hence, we have a NEUTRAL rating
on the issue.
Key Concerns:
Absence of EPC project and presence only in the BOT project segment makes
the company dependent on traffic growth and pricing for improving its
profitability.
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
10
Exhibit 16: Income Statement ( Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY13 FY14 FY15
FY16 FY17
Total operating income 0.7 9.6 8.4
0.8 10.3
Total Expenditure 2.8 9.7 9.3
3.7 8.1
Operational Expenses 0.5 5.6 5.0
0.0 0.0
Employee Benefit Expenses 1.6 3.0 2.9
2.9 4.8
Other Expenses 0.6 1.1 1.4
0.8 3.3
EBITDA (2.1) (0.1) (0.9)
(2.9) 2.1
(% of Net Sales) (310.9) (0.6) (10.6)
(388.0) 20.8
Depreciation& Amortization 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
EBIT (2.1) (0.1) (0.9)
(2.9) 2.1
(% of Net Sales) (312.4) (0.6) (10.7)
(388.7) 20.7
Interest & other Charges 16.9 51.4 40.5
50.4 43.5
Other Income 2.4 0.0 33.1
3.5 4.7
Recurring PBT (16.6) (51.4) (8.4)
(49.8) (36.7)
% chg 2.1 (0.8)
4.9 -0.3
Tax 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.1
PAT -Before Profit loss of Associates
(16.6) (51.4) (8.4)
(49.8) (36.8)
% chg 2.1 -0.8
4.9 -0.3
Share of Loss of Associates 0.2 9.4 18.0
42.7 37.1
PAT (16.9) (60.8) (26.4)
(92.5) (73.9)
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
11
Exhibit 17: Balance Sheet ( Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr)
FY13
FY14 FY15
FY16
FY17
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital
10
10 10
10
54.7
Reserves& Surplus (11.1
)
0.5 (4.0) (76.9
)
375.1
Shareholders’ Funds (1.1
)
10.5 6.0 (66.9
)
429.8
Warrants
165.9
Share Application Money Pending Allotment
25
Minority Interest
31.44
Total Loans
298
461 567
885
568
Other Long Term Liabilities
0.1
2.6 8.1
7.6
18.5
Total Liabilities
322.1
474.1 581.0
826.1
1213.6
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Tangible Assets
0.0
0.0 0.1
0.1
0.3
Intangible Assets
0.0
54.7 160.4
303.0
430.9
Goodwill on consolidation
0.0
1.5 1.5
1.5
1.9
Investments
320.5
374.0 381.2
361.0
454.7
Other Non Current Assets
0.0
25.9 72.2
131.4
286.9
Current Assets
6.6
59.7 13.5
39.8
57.7
Sundry Debtors
0.4
2.6 2.0
2.3
4.8
Cash
3.6
52.1 8.8
18.1
28.0
Loans & Advances
0.1
0.0 0.0
11.6
18.1
Other Assets
2.4
5.0 2.6
7.8
6.9
Current liabilities
5.1
41.8 48.0
10.7
18.8
Net Current Assets
1.5
17.9 (34.5)
29.1
39.0
Total Assets 322.
1
474.1 581.0
826.1
1213.6
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
12
Exhibit 18:
Y/E March (` cr) FY13 FY14 FY15
FY16 FY17
Profit before tax (16.6) (51.4) (8.4)
(49.8) (36.7)
Depreciation 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0
Change in Working Capital 2.8 19.7 (30.6)
(31.0) (18.6)
Interest / Dividend (Net) 14.5 51.3 40.5
46.9 41.7
Direct taxes paid 0.0 (0.9) (0.8)
(1.1) (0.6)
Others 0.0 0.0 33.1
0.0 2.7
Cash Flow from Operations 0.7 18.8 (32.3)
(35.0) (17.0)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets - (51.2) (100.5)
(142.8) (104.8)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (151.6) 9.5 (99.8)
(2.7) (158.3)
Cash Flow from Investing (295.7) (45.8) 37.8
(215.0) (163.0)
Issue of Equity 35.0 (25.0) 0.0
0.0 563.0
Inc./(Dec.) in loans 278.5 126.8 (180.6)
(39.6) (581.5)
Others 14.8 50.0 (150.8)
(303.4) (208.0)
Cash Flow from Financing 298.7 51.8 (29.8)
263.8 189.5
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 3.7 24.8 (24.3)
13.8 9.6
Opening Cash balances 0.0 3.7 28.5
4.2 18.0
Closing Cash balances 3.7 28.5 4.2
18.0 27.6
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
13
Exhibit 19: Ratios
Y/E March (`) FY13 FY14 FY15
FY16 FY17
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E NA NA NA
NA NA
P/CEPS NA NA NA
NA NA
P/BV NA 19.6 34.4
(3.1) 2.6
EV/Sales 721.4 220.3 244.3
707.2 278.4
EV/EBITDA NA NA NA
NA 1062
EV / Total Assets 6.3 4.5 3.9
3.1 1.9
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) (16.9) (60.8) (26.4)
(92.5) (13.5)
Cash EPS (16.9) (60.8) (26.4)
(92.5) (13.5)
Book Value (1.1) 10.5 6.0
(66.9) 78.6
Returns (%)
ROCE NA NA NA
NA NA
ROE NA NA NA
NA NA
Turnover ratios (x)
Inventory / Sales (days) NA NA NA
NA NA
Receivables (days) NA NA NA
NA NA
Payables (days) NA NA NA
NA NA
Source: RHP, Angel Research
BRNL | IPO Note
September 05, 2017
14
Research Team Tel: 022
-
39357800 E
-
mail: research@angelbroking.
com Website:
www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement
BRNL.
1. Financial interest of research analyst or Angel or his Associate or his relative No
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